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Information
Directory for the 2008 California Primary. |
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California
Primary set for February 5, 2008
The
California Primary has been moved up to February
5, 2008, giving California, the country's most
populated state and the 5th largest economy in
the world, a say in the presidential nominating
process. "Moving up the primary from June
to February gives California the influence it
deserves in choosing the next presidential candidates,"
Schwarzenegger said. In recent years, California
has had little to no impact in choosing presidential
nominees because of their early date of June when
the race is all but over. "Holding presidential
primaries in June used to mean nominees were locked
before we ever had a chance to vote," Schwarzenegger
complained. "Those days are over."
The California Primary has been
more of a simple exercise of democracy rather
than a meaningful battleground to choose the nominees
for |
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president. This
isn't the first time California has moved up its
primary in the past. In 1996, the state legislature
moved it from June to March 26th. By that time
Bob Dole had already beaten back Pat Buchanan’s
challenge and the , the race was already over.
In 2000, the legislature moved it up to March
7th, putting California on the same day as Connecticut,
Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Missouri,
New York, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont. This
time Al Gore already had the Democratic nomination
as did George Bush. 2004 was a repeat of California
having no say. The latest move should give California
the say they want in the 2008 presidential election,
but it may make it very difficult for candidates
with low amounts of money to make any head way
in the primaries. |
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Democrats'
Glance |
California is considered
a Blue State, but is split politically
by region. The North, with the exception
of San Francisco, and other coastal
areas vote heavily for Republicans,
while the South is dominated by the
Democrats and Liberals. Keep in mind
this is the home of Ronald Reagan
who was a very popular Conservative
Governor.
Democratic candidates will have to
capture the huge Latino vote as well
as the strong Liberal vote in California,
while still connecting with the moderates.
The problem with campaigning in California
is it's size. Size can only be conquered
with money and name recognition. When
you couple that with the other primaries
on the same date it is going to make
it hard to impossible for "smaller"
candidates to be elected as party
nominees. This gives Hillary Clinton
a huge advantage because she is hands
down the number one fund raiser and
has the most recognized name. The
Clinton's have a strong base in California
that will be difficult for any candidate
to overcome. Barack
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brings both money and name recognition
to the table as well. John Edwards,
has his name recognition from
his run as vice-president, but
his campaign has little money
and he can't seem to get traction.
Edwards would have to do extremely
well in both South Carolina
and Florida to get the financial
support and the momentum to
have a shot in California. |
100%
Reporting: Final Election
Results
Hillary
Clinton Wins!
370 Delegates
| Candidate |
% |
Votes |
Del. |
| Clinton |
52.0%
|
2,211,451 |
207 |
| Obama |
42.4
% |
1,805,692 |
163 |
| Edwards |
4.1% |
173,606 |
- |
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Republicans'
Glance |
The
Republican race for the presidential
nomination will be a much more open
race than the Democratic race unless
several candidates fall out after
Florida. Long shot Fred Thompson has
already dropped out and that leaves
California wide-open. John McCain
from neighboring Arizona brings his
experience momentum from victories
in New Hampshire and South Carolina
to the California voters. Mitt Romney
has yet to win in a state where he
did not have ties (He was born in
Michigan and both Nevada and Wyoming
have large Mormon populations and
were therefore ignored by most candidates),
but still has done well across the
board and finally, he has the money
to compete in California. Giuliani
has already made his job tough by
skipping the early states and putting
everything into Florida. If he wins
Florida he could ride that waved into
a California victory, but his poor
showings in all states, especially
neighboring Nevada, shows his campaign
is little to no chance to win in California.
Mike Huckabee is unlikely to make
much
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of an effort in California.
He will likely be focusing on
the Southern states since California's
primary falls on Super Tuesday
which includes much of the South.
Ron Paul did well in neighboring
Nevada and he will appeal to
some of California's Independents
as well as its Conservatives,
but his campaign hasn't seen
enough exposure to win in California
yet. |
100%
Reporting: Final Election
Results
John
McCain Wins!
170 Delegates
| Candidate |
% |
Votes |
Del. |
| McCain |
40.7% |
1,029,821 |
152 |
| Romney |
36.5% |
923,878 |
6 |
| Huckabee |
11.2% |
281,255 |
- |
| Giuliani |
4.7% |
117,586 |
- |
| Paul |
4.1% |
103,718 |
- |
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